Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.067192 0.075717 0.084482 0.094137 0.104446 0.115094 0.126897
2025-05-04 0.054672 0.067528 0.081454 0.097519 0.115405 0.134583 0.156576
2025-05-11 0.044335 0.059388 0.076436 0.096852 0.120330 0.146206 0.176608
2025-05-18 0.038543 0.055317 0.075030 0.099344 0.128001 0.160232 0.198763
2025-05-25 0.033776 0.051733 0.073564 0.101204 0.134475 0.172535 0.218685
2025-06-01 0.027985 0.046128 0.069023 0.098823 0.135480 0.178131 0.230575
2025-06-08 0.023240 0.041302 0.064963 0.096587 0.136283 0.183190 0.241591
2025-06-15 0.020981 0.039593 0.064691 0.098911 0.142506 0.194595 0.260025
2025-06-22 0.018598 0.037422 0.063589 0.099993 0.147056 0.203905 0.275925
2025-06-29 0.017538 0.037082 0.064877 0.104128 0.155411 0.217839 0.297405
2025-07-06 0.015516 0.035031 0.063623 0.104762 0.159226 0.226158 0.312090
2025-07-13 0.015706 0.036509 0.067385 0.112169 0.171788 0.245346 0.340071
2025-07-20 0.013114 0.033275 0.064362 0.110507 0.172907 0.250753 0.351846
2025-07-27 0.012016 0.032482 0.064897 0.113776 0.180568 0.264503 0.374102
2025-08-03 0.010098 0.029953 0.062627 0.112977 0.182764 0.271324 0.387804
2025-08-10 0.009163 0.029121 0.062884 0.115707 0.189639 0.284082 0.408909
2025-08-17 0.008196 0.028078 0.062710 0.117749 0.195550 0.295599 0.428482
2025-08-24 0.006531 0.025283 0.059478 0.115133 0.194972 0.298653 0.437341
2025-08-31 0.005142 0.022762 0.056476 0.112675 0.194473 0.301706 0.446126
2025-09-07 0.004637 0.022226 0.056812 0.115230 0.200925 0.313837 0.466456
2025-09-14 0.004010 0.021245 0.056291 0.116419 0.205435 0.323418 0.483560
2025-09-21 0.003844 0.021468 0.057922 0.120957 0.214703 0.339315 0.508799
2025-09-28 0.003264 0.020402 0.057128 0.121653 0.218493 0.347960 0.524762